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Thursday, December 9, 2021

The Most Important CPI Report In Generations

It is no exaggeration to say that tomorrow's Consumer Price Index release will be the most important in generations. Inflation was both low and uneventful in the years following the financial crisis.
 
  
Breitbart Business Digest
December 09, 2021

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Are you paying attention yet?<br>Something strange is going on in America...

 

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Something strange is going on in America...
 

Today's Top Stories From the Breitbart News Desk

It is no exaggeration to say that tomorrow's Consumer Price Index release will be the most important in generations. Inflation was both low and uneventful in the years following the financial crisis. The Federal Reserve said it was targeting two percent inflation but undershot that number so consistently that many came to assume that we had entered a period of permanent low inflation.

Inflation volatility was so low that this became a source of criticism of Fed policy. The idea was that extremely low levels of volatility helped bond investors and bond issuers by taking away inflation risk. This allowed a massive accumulation of debt in both the private and public sector, the argument went. As a result, the financial and economic system was supposedly becoming more fragile and debt-dependent.

Others said that the consistently low level of inflation was evidence that the Fed must really be targeting a lower level of inflation than two percent. This was a sort of ultra-monetarist view. It had as its premise the idea that the Fed could control inflation, and so if inflation was running below the official target, the real target must be lower.

What a strange idea. It now seems much more likely that the Fed does not really control inflation in the way that both the central bank or its critics in the era of low inflation imagined. Perhaps it can influence the direction of prices over long periods of time, but the idea that the Fed can hit precise targets seems a bit fanciful in an era when we're running far above the target and the numbers have become unpredictable.

For what it's worth, inflation is expected to run at a 6.7 percent annual rate in tomorrow's report. But the risk is for an upside surprise. Economists have been underestimating monthly inflation for most of the year; and some real-time signs of prices, such as the renewed upward charge of wholesale used car prices, indicate that inflation may have accelerated more than expected.

That certainly seems to be the thinking over at the White House. The Biden administration has spent most of this week attempting to distract attention from inflation. Look at all the jobs that have been "created" (never mind that they've mostly just been reopened)! Unemployment has fallen to almost as low as it was prepandemic! Isn't that jobless claims number grand? The problem for the White House is that Americans now see inflation as the top economic problem facing the nation, and no amount of happy talk about jobs figures is going to make people feel better about their paychecks buying fewer and fewer groceries each month.

Alex Marlow & John Carney
Breitbart News Network

 
 

TOP STORY

 
Joe Biden Tries to Preempt More Bad News on Inflation
President Joe Biden tried to preempt more bad news on inflation Thursday as analysts are watching the release of the Consumer Price Index (CPI), scheduled for Friday. "Tomorrow, we will get a report on consumer prices that experts expect to be elevated again," Biden acknowledged in a statement about the economy. Economists are estimating consumer costs are expected to rise 0.7 percent from the previous month and hit a 6.7 percent jump from last year. That would be higher than the jump in October, which hit a record high of 6.2 percent, the highest jump since 1990. [Click here for more]
 

IN OTHER STORIES...

Nolte: Media Launch Gaslighting Campaign After White House Demands Better Economic Coverage
Earlier this week, we learned the White House is aggressively courting the corporate media to "reshape [economic] coverage in its favor." Well, to the surprise of no one, it's working. [Click here for more]
 
Majority of Americans Don't Believe Biden's Claim That 'Build Back' Fights Inflation
Most Americans are not buying the Biden administration's claims that its Build Back Better social welfare spending bill will combat inflation, a poll released Thursday showed. Fifty-one percent of Americans say they are pessimistic that the bill would reduce inflation, an NPR/Marist poll showed. Just 35 percent say they are optimistic, with... [Click here for more]
 
Jobless Claims Fall to Lowest Since 1969, Fanning Inflation Fears
Weekly jobless claims fell again last week, tumbling to a new 52-year low, the Labor Department reported Thursday. Initial filings for unemployment insurance dropped 43,000 to 184,000 for the week ended Dec. 4, the lowest going back to Sept. 6, 1969, which saw... [Click here for more]
 
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