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Thursday, March 17, 2022

Jerome Powell and the Tears of Saint Patrick

                                                           
While the story of ridding Ireland of serpents will always be Saint Patrick's best known achievement, there are countless other miracles attributed to the man.
 
 
Breitbart Business Digest
March 17, 2022
 

Today's Top Stories From the Breitbart News Desk

While the story of ridding Ireland of serpents will always be Saint Patrick's best known achievement, there are countless other miracles attributed to the man. Many of them revolve around wells or springs. In one of the tales, freshly melted winter snow overflowed a brook so badly that it threatened to flood the surrounding village. Saint Patrick is said to have dipped a finger in water and used it to make a sign of the cross on a loaf of bread, causing the flood tide to recede immediately.

The idea of miraculously stemming the flood brings to mind Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell's conviction that the central bank will be able to turn back the tide of inflation without even so much as pushing up unemployment, much less causing a recession. The latest set of projections from the members of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) show that officials expect inflation to fall from 5.8 percent to 2.7 percent over the course of 21 months — even while the economy grows at 2.8 percent this year and 2.2 percent next year.

The projections show that the median expectation is for unemployment to end the year at 3.5 percent and to stay that low the following year. That's a half a percent below the Fed's estimate for the long-run neutral rate. Meanwhile, the Fed's interest rate target is seen as rising to just 1.9 percent this year and 2.8 percent next year. That averages to slightly below the 2.4 percent long-run average estimated by Fed officials.

To sum up, the Fed appears to believe it can bring down the highest inflation in 40 years with interest rate targets that fall short of the long-run neutral rate. It will, of course, eventually get around to shrinking its balance sheet, an untested monetary tightening that might wind up depressing financial asset prices but do little to affect the short-term trajectory of the labor market, consumer prices, or the real economy.

In fairness to the Fed, it has finally got around to admitting that inflation will not just vanish on its own. Back in September of last year, after a summer of raging inflation, the FOMC's projections had inflation falling from its overly optimistic year-end projection of 4.3 percent for 2021 to 2.2 percent in 2022. That was to be accomplished with an interest rate hike of merely one-quarter of a point for all of 2022. So at least the Fed now admits it will have to hike rates, even if it is in denial about how far those hikes will have to go and what sort of economic pain they will need to inflict.

We owe a debt of gratitude to Gabriel Chodorow-Reich, an associate professor of economics at Harvard, for coining the phrase "immaculate disinflation" to describe the Fed's persistent belief that it can bring down inflation painlessly. While it is not unimaginable that inflation could largely fall on its own, the Fed has not clearly articulated a theory about why it expects this to happen. Is it expecting an imminent loosening of supply constraints? Does it think energy prices will plunge soon? Or something else? It would probably help if the Fed let us in on the source of its faith.

In another story about Saint Patrick, the rock he was baptized upon supposedly became a kind of medieval lie detector. The local officials would hear testimony from witnesses seated upon the rock; and if anyone dared lie, the rock would start to flow with water that sometimes were called the tears of Saint Patrick. We cannot help but wonder what would happen if Powell were forced to discuss the Fed's inflation policy while seated upon that stone.

Alex Marlow & John Carney
Breitbart News Network

 
 

TOP STORY

 
House Democrats Blocked Consideration for American Energy Independence from Russia Act Again
Democrats in the House of Representatives blocked consideration of a Republican bill on Wednesday to make the United States energy independent from Russia as they recently invaded Ukraine.
The Democrats, for the third time, had refused to join the Republicans in the House to support and pass H.R. 6858, American Energy Independence from Russia Act, which would support the production of American energy, and eventually lower the cost of gas as it skyrocketed.
On Wednesday, the bill was offered by Rep. Michelle Fischbach (R-MN), but 218 Democrats blocked the consideration, making this the third time for the same legislation. [Click here for more]
 

IN OTHER STORIES...

Home Construction Hits Highest Level Since 1974 as Supply Constraints Slow Completions
The number of homes under construction in the U.S. rose in February to the highest level since 1974, likely a reflection of supply constraints acting as a drag on building even as demand for homes remains sky-high.
For the ninth consecutive month, the number of units under construction has exceeded completions, something that has rarely happened before and never for a... [Click here for more]
 
Bidenflation: Philly Fed Survey Shows Cost Inflation at Worst Since 1979
Apart from this past November, it has been nearly a half-century since price hikes by manufacturers in the Philadelphia region were this widespread.
The Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia said its monthly manufacturing survey's index of prices received rose to 54.4 in early March, with 57 percent of surveyed businesses saying they had raised their prices, thirty-eight percent saying prices were unchanged from a month before, and... [Click here for more]
 
Unemployment Claims in U.S. Decline Again as Historically Tight Labor Market Pushes Joblessness to Lowest Since 1970
March 17 (UPI) — New unemployment claims in the United States continue to decline and indicate a strong labor market that's come a long way since the start of the COVID-19 pandemic two years ago.
The Labor Department said in its weekly report on Thursday that there were 214,000 new filings last week — beating forecasts from most economists, who expected the report to show about... [Click here for more]
 
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Ketanji Brown Jackson Reduced Prison Sentences for Sex Traffickers

   
LifeNews.com Pro-Life News Report

Thursday, March 17, 2022

Having problems reading this email? To read the news, visit LifeNews.com.

Top Stories
Marco Rubio Files Resolution to Overturn Biden's Rule Forcing Americans to Fund Planned Parenthood
Ketanji Brown Jackson Reduced Prison Sentences for Sex Traffickers and Child Pornographers
ABC, CBS and NBC Ignore Report Confirming Andrew Cuomo Covered Up Thousands of Nursing Home Deaths
Washington Gov. Jay Inslee Signs "Kill More Babies" Bill to Let Nurses Kill Babies in Abortions

More Pro-Life News
Amazing Video Shows a Living, First Trimester Unborn Baby
Ohio Bill Would Ban Abortions: We Must "Protect the Most Vulnerable in Our Society"
Oregon Report Shows 238 People Were Killed in Assisted Suicides Last Year
Christian QB Russell Wilson Visits Kids in the Hospital After Signing With Denver Broncos
Scroll Down for Several More Pro-Life News Stories

Washington Gov. Jay Inslee Signs "Kill More Babies" Bill to Let Nurses Kill Babies in Abortions



New Audit Shows Andrew Cuomo Failed to Report Deaths of 4,000 Nursing Home Residents He Killed

Pastor and His Wife Refuse Abortion, Welcome Conjoined Twin Daughters. "The Lord is Faithful"

She Had an Abortion at 15. Now She Saves Babies From Abortion at the Same Planned Parenthood Clinic

Tim Tebow's Mom Shares How She Rejected Abortion When Told She Would Die: "He's My Miracle Baby"

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Daily Post from Apologetics315 for 03/17/2022

Podcast: Atheism, Theism, and the Meaning of Life

By Dante Stack on Mar 17, 2022 06:24 am
Conquests in CanaanAdherent Apologist Zac Sechler invites atheist philosopher Ben Watkins onto the show. The two men discuss how atheists derive meaning from the world. Without God, how does a non-theist discover/know truth? Some good stuff here! Adherent Apologetics: Atheist Ben Watkins joins the show to talk about life and purpose from an atheistic worldview.
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Debate: How Should We Understand Romans 9? (Vela V. Cranman)

By Dante Stack on Mar 16, 2022 06:46 pm
During yesterday’s debate, the Calvinist referenced this earlier debate featuring the same Arminian debater (Cranman), so I thought we’d take a look at this one today. Back to back days of Romans 9! Let’s do it! Capturing Christianity: In this informal debate, John Cranman (non-Calvinist) debates Tyler Vela (Calvinist) about the best understanding of Romans 9. Does Romans 9 teach Calvinism or some other view? John Cranman’s videography website: https://www.facebook.com/CranmanPandC/ Tyler Vela’s Podcast: freedthinkerpodcast.blogspot.com
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Article: The "Heathen" and the Unknown God

By Dante Stack on Mar 16, 2022 03:10 pm
Greg Koukl tackles the difficult emotional question of what’s going to happen to earnest followers of other religions. Koukl doesn’t just answer the theological inquiry, but broaches the emotional aspect of responding with a “narrow path” answer. In the book of Numbers, when God sent poisonous snakes sweeping through the camp as judgment for the Jews' rebellion during their wanderings in the wilderness, God made a narrow provision for their escape: "Then the Lord said to Moses, 'Make a fiery serpent, and set it on a standard; and it shall come about, that everyone who is bitten, when he looks at it, he shall live'" Greg Koukl https://www.str.org/w/the-heathen-and-the-unknown-god-part-1
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Video: Your loved ones are not in heaven

By Dante Stack on Mar 16, 2022 11:42 am
This Frank Turek video clip has a provocative title! The brief interchange between Dr. Turek and a questioner starts with a discussion on what is Sheol, and goes from there towards a discussion of what heaven is and isn’t. Cross Examined: Paul tells us in 2 Corinthians 5:8 that those who die who have trusted in Jesus as their Savior will be absent from the body, but present with the Lord. When a loved one who knew Jesus dies, we can have peace knowing they are with the Lord. But are they really in Heaven right now? Technically, no. No, they are not. That may surprise some of you. You can hear Frank's explanation in this video.
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