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Monday, July 26, 2021

Will Bidenflation Steal Christmas?

                                                           
Might as well break it to the kids now. Christmas may look a bit austere this year.
 
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Breitbart Business Digest
July 26, 2021
 

Today's Top Stories From the Breitbart News Desk

Might as well break it to the kids now. Christmas may look a bit austere this year. Hasbro—the maker of Monopoly, Nerf, and Dungeons & Dragons—announced that it is implementing price increases that will "go into effect fully for the fourth quarter" in order to maintain profit margins in the face of skyrocketing costs. This was music to the ears of investors, sending the stock up better than 12 percent Monday. But whatever tune those investors were singing, it certainly wasn't a Christmas carol — because the fourth quarter price hikes will come in what is known to the rest of us as the Christmas season.

We do not mean to cast aspersions on Hasbro or its investors. As the toy maker's CEO pointed out in an interview with CNBC, ocean freight is on average four times as expensive as it was a year ago. They aren't waging a war on Christmas here. It's just that inflation is here, and it does not look like it is going anywhere. Shoppers are likely going to find that things are a lot more expensive come Christmas time.

As Greenlight Capital's David Einhorn detailed in a letter to investors sent out Monday, much of the capital investment made over the past decade has gone into digital media, unprofitable tech companies, and companies that profess the woke capital catechism trinity of environmental/equity, social, and governance. That has left the kind of companies that make the things that are rising in price starved of investment and unable to expand production to meet demand. Investors in Tesla—up 113 percent over the past 12-months—are no doubt happy, but nothing Tesla does is going to resolve the shortage of cars and trucks that has sent used auto prices up 10.5 percent in June and more than 45 percent since last year.

"The point is, we believe we have reached a structural change in inflation," Einhorn wrote. "Part of that is driven by public policy, but part of it has been driven by capital markets and ESG mandates.The enormous emphasis on investing in often money-losing businesses in disruptive areas like technology has left traditional industries starved for growth capital. The result is they haven't grown capacity and now they cannot meet demand. The more these 'value' stocks are starved of capital, the higher prices are likely to go and the longer the inflation is likely to last."

All the talk about inflation being "transitory" may actually be making things worse. Higher prices would ordinarily lure investment. But with Fed officials and the Biden administration insisting that prices will not keep rising—recall that Biden recently claimed that his $4.1 trillion spending package would reduce inflation—investors are likely deterred, according to Einhorn. That would explain, for example, why new home sales remain surprisingly low despite record high prices. Who wants to invest in building new homes—or in a home builder—if the Fed is promising to crush the price gains? Ironically, that underinvestment will likely mean supply constraints remain in place and prices do keep rising.

Alex Marlow & John Carney
Breitbart News Network

 
 

TOP STORY

 
Bidenflation: Majority of Americans Say Economy is In Poor Shape
President Joe Biden promised to make life more affordable for middle-class families — and that's why the recent bout of inflation poses both a political and an economic risk. Fewer than half of Americans, 45 percent, judge the economy to be in good shape, while 54 percent say it's in poor shape, according to a new poll from The Associated Press-NORC Center for Public Affairs Research. Views are similar to what they were in AP-NORC polls in June and in March, despite increases in vaccinations and the flow of aid from Biden's $1.9 trillion coronavirus relief package. The results suggest that the recent bout of inflation has Americans worried about the economy and their family finances even though the economy has been growing at a rapid clip. [Click here for more]
 

IN OTHER STORIES...

Hasbro CEO Goldner: 'Price Increase' on Toys Won't Hurt 'High Demand' of Our Products
Hasbro CEO and chairman Brian Goldner said Monday on CNBC's "Squawk on the Street" that he expected robust demand for toys to continue even though the company was increasing prices. Co-host Morgan Brennan asked, "As we enter what's usually traditionally peak shipping season for the container ships right now ahead of the Christmas holiday and whatnot later this year, what are you seeing in terms of... [Click here for more]
 
Inflation Still Rages Across Texas Even as Business Index Disappoints
Inflationary pressures remain extremely high in Texas and business conditions were weaker than expected, a survey of manufacturers indicated Monday. Nearly 76 percent of manufacturers survey by the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas said they were paying higher prices for raw materials in July, and just... [Click here for more]
 
Bidenflation: New Home Sales Unexpectedly Plunge 6.6%
Sales of new homes unexpectedly plunged in June, the third straight month of falling sales. New home sales fell 6.6 percent in the month to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 676,000 units, the Commerce Department reported Monday. That followed a 7.7 percent sales decline in May and a... [Click here for more]
 
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