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Friday, August 13, 2021

Joe Biden's Bummer Summer

                                                           
The historic collapse of U.S. consumer sentiment in the first half of August makes it official: this is Biden's Bummer Summer.
 
  
Breitbart Business Digest
August 13, 2021
 

Today's Top Stories From the Breitbart News Desk

The historic collapse of U.S. consumer sentiment in the first half of August makes it official: this is Biden's Bummer Summer.

The University of Michigan's Consumer Sentiment Index fell to 70.2 from the final July reading of 81.2. Professor Richard Curtin, the survey's chief economist, pointed out that the index has recorded larger losses only six other times in the past half-century. In each of those declines, there was a connection to sudden negative changes in the economy, such as last summer's shutdown or the financial crisis. In other words, the American public is reacting to recent news as if something very bad had just happened.

The loss of confidence was not only deep but wide. It was felt by all income, age, and education subgroups and showed up across all regions. And it covered all aspects of the economy: personal finance, prospects for the economy, inflation, and unemployment.

The crushing of hopes for an end to the pandemic helped fuel the fall. Just as people were preparing to go back into offices and back to school, it suddenly looks like we tripped into the world of forever masking, social distancing, remote work, booster shots, and fear that we could all be covert carriers forever posing viral threats to our friends and family.

"Consumers have correctly reasoned that the economy's performance will be diminished over the next several months, but the extraordinary surge in negative economic assessments also reflects an emotional response, mainly from dashed hopes that the pandemic would soon end," Curtin wrote in his note accompanying the survey report.

The worse than expected inflation figures no doubt also played a role. As we reported yesterday, the prices of household durable goods and appliances are rising rapidly. Gas prices are running high enough that President Joe Biden recently found himself practically begging the Saudis to pump more oil. Food prices are up 3.4 percent, the fastest rate of inflation in a decade. Expectations for medium-term inflation rose in August, according to the University of Michigan survey.

Jefferies LLC economist Thomas Simons warned Friday that rising inflation expectations and the downside surprise of the Delta wave of the pandemic are connected. "The longer the economy and society remain distorted or abnormal relative to what we expected pre-Covid, the longer and higher the inflation environment can persist," Simons told Marketwatch.

It's a sign of just how distorted financial markets have become that the S&P 500 rose to another record high on Friday. It's a "bad news is good news" trade. Depressed consumer sentiment gives the Fed reason to hold off on tightening monetary policy, which gives stocks more room to climb higher.

Alex Marlow & John Carney
Breitbart News Network

 
 

TOP STORY

 
Consumer Sentiment Crashes to Lowest Level in 10 Years
The confidence of Americans in the economy suffered an unexpected severe collapse in the first weeks of August. The University of Michigan's Consumer Sentiment index fell to 70.2 from the end of July score of 81.2, the lowest score since 2011. "Consumers reported a stunning loss of confidence in the first half of August," said Richard Curtin, the survey's chief economist. [Click here for more]
 

IN OTHER STORIES...

Supreme Court Strikes Down Part of New York's Eviction Ban
The Supreme Court on Thursday blocked part of a pandemic eviction moratorium in New York State. The court's order forbids the enforcement of a provision of the law that barred the eviction of tenants who declared themselves under pandemic-induced economic hardship. The provision provided landlords with no means to challenge the claim in... [Click here for more]
 
WATCH – Gas Buyers React to Steep Prices in Virginia: 'It's Killing Me'
Gas customers voiced their disappointment and frustration regarding soaring prices in Arlington, Virginia, on Thursday. "It's killing me. It takes 60 bucks to fill up the 2020 Camaro and it takes $52 to fill up my 2016 Chevy Malibu," a man named Tony, who is a Shell customer, told a reporter with... [Click here for more]
 
Zuckerberg's Data Says Amnesty Gives Economic Windfall to Wealthy States
Mark Zuckerberg's amnesty advocates report that the pending reconciliation amnesty will deliver a huge windfall to the wealthy coastal states — but will offer little to midwestern states, small northeastern states, and the southern states. The report, inadvertently, also spotlights the painful reality that migration skews regional wealth in the United States by minimizing incentives for coastal investors to create jobs outside their... [Click here for more]
 
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